Health Insurance Portfolio – An Analysis

Few years back we were very enthusiastic about the growth of Health Insurance portfolio. This was especially true during 2007-08, when this portfolio grew from Rs 3210 Cr to Rs 5110 Cr. i.e by 59.20%. Let us look at the growth figures from 2006 to 2013:

% Growth of Health Insurance over the Years

Year	Amount (Rs Crores)	% Growth
2006-2007	3210	14.45
2007-2008	5110	59.20
2008-2009	6634	29.82
2009-2010	8305	25.68
2010-2011	11480	38.22
2011-2012	13184	14.84
2012-2013	15341	16.36

We have drawn graph showing the % growth YOY and, it shows that figure is fluctuating and is becoming less and less attractive as the years have passed by.

Let us try to make projections for next 6 years.

We have done this with growth rate of 12%, 20%, 30% & 60%.

If we achieve figure of 30% then the portfolio will be Rs 56960 Cr. in 2017-2018.

If some one asks me- What should be the growth with which you I will be happy?- I will say it should not be 30% gross but it should be 30% net (as we have to discount for inflation of 10% per annum in normal costs and 20% per annum in health care costs). Let us not be satisfied with meager growth of 16%- let us aim for 60%.

It means we should have growth of 60% year over year and then the figure will reach Rs 160862 crores in 2017-18